Divide and Rule in the Indo-Pacific: Lavrov’s Bold Claim
In a powerful warning that has raised eyebrows across the global stage, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov recently accused the West of deploying a modern-day “divide and rule” strategy—this time targeting the age-old camaraderie between India, Russia, and China.
Lavrov’s remarks, made during a high-level summit, come at a time when global geopolitics is witnessing tectonic shifts. “What is happening right now in the Asia-Pacific region, the West has begun to call it the Indo-Pacific region in order to give its policy a clear anti-Chinese direction,”
Lavrov said. “Hoping to thereby pit the great friends and neighbors India and China against each other.”
Let’s dive deeper into what Lavrov meant, why it matters, and how this power play could reshape Asia’s future.
1. The Indo-Pacific Narrative: Fracture in Disguise?
Lavrov’s criticism hits at the heart of the West’s increasing use of the term Indo-Pacific instead of Asia-Pacific. While this change may seem semantic, it’s deeply strategic.
The term “Indo-Pacific” is widely believed to reflect a counterbalance to China’s rising dominance. Western powers, especially the United States, have embraced this term while forging closer ties with countries like India, Australia, and Japan through groupings like the Quad (Quadrilateral Security Dialogue).
Lavrov’s concern? That this rhetoric isn’t just about balancing power—it’s about dividing historical allies.
2. India-China Tensions: An Open Wound
Tensions in the Russia-China-India triangle continue to simmer. The key developments and concerns are outlined below in a mobile-friendly format:
Geopolitical Triangle | The Russia-China-India relationship has always been fragile and complex. |
Galwan Valley Clash (2020) | This deadly clash marked a serious setback in India-China relations. |
India’s Concerns | India remains cautious of China’s aggressive border stance and its military ties with Pakistan. |
Diplomatic Status | Despite some military talks and diplomatic efforts, tensions and mistrust persist. |
Lavrov fears that Western powers are amplifying this tension to their own advantage—keeping India and China from aligning too closely on global platforms.
3. China’s Backing of Pakistan: A Thorn in Delhi’s Side
One major irritant in India-China ties is Beijing’s unwavering support for Islamabad.
Recent reports suggest that Pakistan’s military used Chinese drones, fighter jets, and even missile systems in their failed attacks on Indian targets. While these claims are yet to be verified publicly, the perception in New Delhi is clear: China is indirectly undermining Indian security interests.
This further complicates any trilateral harmony between India, Russia, and China—playing right into the hands of external players looking to fragment the region.
4. India’s Neutrality on Ukraine: A Problem for the West
India has consistently walked a neutral path on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Despite pressure from Western allies, New Delhi refused to denounce Moscow outright and even ramped up its purchase of discounted Russian crude oil.
This pragmatism has irked the West but strengthened India-Russia relations. Lavrov praised India’s independent foreign policy, calling it a model for balancing global interests.
It’s another example of how the West’s efforts to isolate Russia have not succeeded uniformly—and how India continues to assert its sovereign decision-making.
5. The Putin-Lavrov Doctrine: Calling Out Divide and Rule
The statements by Russian leaders highlight a recurring geopolitical strategy. The key points are summarized below in a mobile-optimized table format:
Putin’s Perspective | Western powers are reverting to colonial-style tactics such as divide and rule. |
Historical Context | This strategy previously fractured nations, instigated conflicts, and supported imperial control. |
Lavrov’s Insight | The divide-and-rule method is now repackaged through diplomacy, trade agreements, and military alliances. |
The goal? Prevent Russia, China, and India from uniting into a powerful, independent bloc that can challenge Western hegemony.
6. The Trump Effect: Trade Wars and Global Realignment
U.S. trade policies under Donald Trump reshaped global dynamics, impacting both India and China. Key developments are:
Trump’s Trade Policies | Focused heavily on China, triggering global economic shifts and trade tensions. |
India’s Position | Initially gained some trade advantages but later faced challenges from tariffs and sanctions. |
India-China Dynamics | Despite past tensions, both nations are quietly exploring ways to ease friction. |
Western Pressure | The softening stance between India and China may be a strategic response to increasing Western alignment. |
This realignment, while fragile, shows that India and China may not be fully buying into the West’s divide narrative.
7. What Lies Ahead: Will Asia Unite or Divide?
Amid shifting alliances, the future of Asia may depend on renewed cooperation between key powers. The major points are outlined below:
Asia’s Future | Depends heavily on whether India, Russia, and China can overcome historical tensions and rebuild trust. |
Russia’s Stance | Advocates for unity among Asian powers, emphasizing strategic independence from Western influence. |
Lavrov’s Message | Not just political rhetoric, but a call to resist becoming tools in a broader geopolitical struggle. |
However, the road to unity is anything but smooth. Border tensions, strategic mistrust, and third-party interference remain potent barriers.
Final Thoughts: Time to Rethink Regional Unity
In a rapidly polarizing world, Lavrov’s warning serves as a timely reminder: Unity is strength, division is exploitation.
As the West allegedly pushes an Indo-Pacific agenda to contain China, it risks alienating India and disrupting long-standing regional relationships. Whether this strategy will succeed—or backfire—depends on how New Delhi, Moscow, and Beijing choose to respond.
If they can overcome their mutual suspicions, these three nations have the potential to redefine global power structures in the 21st century.
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